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The Fed left policy rates unchanged at this week's meeting and pledged to continue bond buying until 'substantial' economic gains are seen.

Retail sales tumbled in November, decreasing 1.1% from the prior month. The economic rebound has hit bumps amid rising COVID-19 cases and increasing lockdowns.

Jobless claims unexpectedly jumped to the highest level in 3 months, suggesting the labor market is faltering due to new business restrictions.

 

Homebuilder confidence dropped slightly in December, after 3 straight months of record highs. Builders say they are concerned that buyers are starting to get sticker shock.

Strong demand pushed housing starts to a 9-month high in November, up for the 3rd straight month. Single-family construction climbed to the best level since 2007.

Mortgage applications increased last week, with purchase applications up 2% on the week and 26% higher annually. Refinance applications were up 105% from a year ago.

 
 

Consumer prices rose 0.2% in November, as an increase in energy costs offset a drop in food prices. Overall prices are up 1.2% over last year, keeping inflation in check.

Congress continues to work on a relief plan of nearly $1 trillion, which will likely be part of a larger spending bill that may get done sometime next week.

Jobless claims surged last week to 853,000, the highest number since September 19. Continuing claims saw their first increase since August, up 230,000 to 5.76 million.

 
 
 

NAR reports 1 in 3 people have transitioned to full or partial remote work during the pandemic, freeing them up to move. 8.93 million people have relocated this year.

The pandemic economic downturn has coincided with a booming housing market. October existing home prices for all housing types jumped 15.5% over last year, according to NAR.

Online searches for manufactured homes saw an annual increase of more than 50% from May to September. The increased interest came as single-family home prices soared.

 
 

 


Stocks continue to rally to new highs as investors become more optimistic that multiple COVID-19 vaccines will help speed up an economic recovery as we head into 2021.

An emergency stimulus package by the end of the year is now a possibility. Politicians have returned to the negotiating table as COVID-19 counts rise and the economy falters.

Jobless claims dropped to a pandemic-era low of 712,000 last week. Continuing claims also fell, dropping to 5.52 million.

Mortgage demand was up as new purchase applications jumped 9% last week and were 28% higher annually. Refinance applications fell 5% but were still 102% higher than a year ago.

Pending home sales unexpectedly fell by 1.1% in October but were still 20.2% higher than in October 2019. Low inventory likely caused the decline.

New home sales were up 41% year over year in October. The median price of a new home was $330,600, up from $322,400, as prices increased for land, labor and material.

 

Consumer confidence slipped in November, amid a resurgence in COVID-19 cases and business restrictions, reinforcing expectations for a 4th quarter economic slowdown.
 
Durable goods orders grew at a faster than expected clip in October, demonstrating the manufacturing sector's continued support of the economy.
 
Jobless claims rose the 2nd week in a row for the first back-to-back increase since July. The rising COVID-19 count is likely causing labor market weakness.

 

 

The FHFA released the 2021 conforming loan limits to be used by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Limits will rise 7.42% to $548,250 in most places and to $822,375 in most high-cost areas.
 
Home prices surged to a 6-year high in September, according to Case-Schiller. The 7% increase over last year marks the fastest 12-month gain since 2014.
 
Existing home sales grew 4.3% over September and 26.6% over last year. New home sales were also strong in October, remaining near their best pace since 2006.

 


 

 

October retail sales rose 0.3% over September. The pace was the slowest in 6 months, suggesting consumers may be growing more hesitant to spend as pandemic numbers rise.
Congress remains locked in a stalemate over a coronavirus stimulus. Increases in job losses and reduced spending could slow the economic recovery.
Jobless claims unexpectedly rose by 31,000 to 742,00 last week, as new business restrictions sparked a fresh wave of layoffs.

 

November's homebuilder confidence index for construction of single-family homes shattered record highs for the 3rd straight month, as more buyers are heading for the suburbs.
Housing starts increased more than expected in October, suggesting low rates and strong demand continue to sustain the housing market.
Mortgage applications to purchase a home rose 4% for the week, up 28% annually. Refinance application volume was down 2% for the week but was up 98% over last year.


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