Consumer prices rose more than expected in March, up 0.6% from February and 2.6% from a year ago. However, the Fed expects inflation to be transitory and is not concerned.
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Retail sales surged 9.8% in March over February, boosted by stimulus funds, warmer weather, and the removal of some pandemic related restrictions.
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Jobless claims fell last week to the lowest level since March 2020, when the pandemic began. The decrease in claims shows the labor market continues to improve. |
Home builder confidence increased slightly in April, according to the NAHB index, even as builders continued to grapple with rising lumber prices and supply chain issues.
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Google searches reflect homebuyer challenges in a low-inventory market. Consumers are googling phrases like, "How much over asking price should I offer on a home in 2021?"
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Purchase applications made up a majority of mortgage applications in March (52%), beating out refinance apps for the first time since December 2019 and underscoring the market's shift. |
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Stocks are once again hitting new record highs regularly, as they were before the pandemic. Investors remain optimistic about the recovering economy. |
The minutes from last month's Fed meeting released this week reiterated the commitment to maintaining easy policy until we see stronger employment and inflation. |
Continuing jobless claims were down last week, though initial jobless claims jumped for the 2nd week, underscoring the uneven nature of the labor market recovery. |
President Biden's new infrastructure plan includes a $5 billion proposal for local government incentives to change zoning laws and allow more apartment buildings. |
Trying to prevent a wave of foreclosures, the CFPB proposed rule changes this week to prohibit mortgage servicers from foreclosing on delinquent borrowers through Dec 31, 2021. |
Although mortgage applications to purchase a home were down 5% for the week, they were up 51% over last year, highlighting the housing market's rebound from the start of the pandemic. |
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Consumer confidence hit a one-year high in March, supporting optimism for labor market improvements and accelerated economic growth in the coming months. |
Private payrolls rose by 517,000 in March according to ADP, the fastest pace since September. Hospitality led the way, with the battered sector adding 169,000 new workers. |
The most recent 4-week average for jobless claims fell to its lowest level since March 2020, though new claims came in slightly higher than expected. |
Home prices continue to accelerate at an alarming pace, up 11.2% year-over-year in January, according to Case-Shiller. That is the largest annual gain in nearly 15 years. |
February home sales fell 0.5% below last year's level, though pending home sales fell more than 10% compared with January, as record low supply stifles the housing market. |
Construction spending was down slightly in February, likely hurt by an unusually harsh cold snap this winter. Spending was still up 5.3% over February 2020. |
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Fed Chair Jerome Powell said this week that the economy is "much improved," crediting Congress and the Fed for providing "unprecedented" support during the pandemic. |
The 4th-qtr GDP reading was raised to a revised 4.3% this week, and all signs point to the economy's improvement. Economists predict we may see growth as high as 7% this year. |
Jobless claims hit a one-year low last week, another sign of a rebound. However, there are still almost 19 million people receiving unemployment checks. |
Existing home sales fell in February, as supply dropped by the largest amount on record. With spring weather and greater vaccine availability, more homes may be listed. |
New home sales also dropped in February, as builders faced higher costs and persistent delays. With limited supply and higher mortgage rates, affordability has taken a hit. |
However, it is important to recognize that February existing home sales were still 9.1% higher than a year ago and that builders expect sales to rise due to strong demand. |
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Retail sales fell more than expected in February, probably due to the bitterly cold weather across the country. A rebound is considered likely next month. |
The Fed kept policy rates unchanged this week, stating that current monetary policy is appropriate and there's no reason to push back against the recent Treasury yield surge. |
Jobless claims rose unexpectedly last week to 770,000, the highest number since mid-February, as the labor market recovers in fits and starts. |
Homebuilder confidence in the single-family housing market fell in March. Builders continue to face rising mortgage rates and rising costs for materials, especially lumber. |
Housing starts fell 10.3% to a 6-month low during February's cold weather. It was likely a temporary setback for a housing market with lean inventory and strong demand. |
Mortgage applications continued to fall as rates climbed, down 2.2% last week. However, purchase applications were still 5% higher than the same week a year ago. |