The economy grew 2% in the 3rd qtr, its slowest rate since the end of the 2020 recession. The slowdown is due to supply chain issues and reduced consumer spending. |
Orders for big-ticket items dipped 0.4% in September. Durable goods orders fell for the first time since April as manufacturers grappled with supply chain bottlenecks. |
Initial unemployment claims fell to a pandemic low last week as the job market continues to recover from last year's coronavirus recession. |
House prices rose 19.8% year over year in August, the same as July, according to Case-Shiller. That’s the first time the annual gain hasn’t increased since early 2020. |
New single-family home sales surged to a six-month high in September, but higher house prices are making homeownership less affordable for some first-time buyers. |
Pending home sales fell slightly in September, possibly due to higher mortgage rates. Fewer bidding wars and more inventory in August had hinted at a cooling market. |
Supply chain issues continue to contribute to rising inflation, as manufacturers and distributors of goods struggle to deliver as much as pre-pandemic levels.
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The Fed said employers reported significant increases in prices and wages even as economic growth slowed to a “modest to moderate” pace in September and early October.
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Jobless claims hit another pandemic low, dropping to 290,000 last week, the 3rd straight drop. Continuing claims also continued their steady decline.
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Homebuilding unexpectedly fell in September. Permits dropped to a 1-year low amid shortages of materials and labor, supporting expectations of slowing economic growth.
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Existing home sales rose in September, likely due to a brief decline in mortgage rates. First-time buyers made up just 28% of sales, the lowest level since July 2015.
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Single-family rents are surging, and investors are flooding the market. August rents rose 9.3% year over year, up from a 2.2% year-over-year increase in August 2020.
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Minutes from their last meeting show the Fed feels the economy is close to reaching their prescribed targets to begin tapering bond buying soon, pressuring rates higher. |
Consumer prices grew slightly more than expected in September, when food and energy increases offset declines in used car prices. Inflation can contribute to higher rates. |
Jobless claims fell last week to the lowest since March 2020, as employers hang onto their workers in the tight labor market. Continuing claims dropped to 2.6 million. |
Foreclosures are rising, but numbers should stay relatively low due to high levels of home equity and aggressive modifications by lenders. |
Purchase applications increased 2% for the week but were 10% lower than the same week one year ago. Refinance applications fell 1% for the week and were 16% lower year over year. |
A recent survey of agents shows rising prices are causing problems with appraisals. 23% of contracts were delayed and 12% then terminated due to appraisal issues, according to the survey. |
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The Fed's favorite inflation gauge rose 3.6% to a 30-year high in August. Inflation will typically pressure interest and mortgage rates higher. |
Stock market holdings made up about half of the $109.2 trillion of household-owned financial assets through the second quarter of 2021, reaching a 70-year high. |
Initial jobless claims fell last week to 326k, the lowest in a month, pointing to ongoing improvement in the labor market. Continuing claims fell to 2.7 million. |
The housing market has been fiercely competitive over the last few months, but housing analysts predict buyers who keep getting shut out may soon find better luck. |
Bathroom renovations have become popular in the last year, particularly upgrades with spa-like features such as rainfall shower heads, dual showers, and whirlpool baths. |
Purchase mortgage applications declined 2% for the week and were 13% lower than the same week one year ago. Refinance demand fell to the lowest level in three months. |
In testimony before Congress, Fed Chair Powell cautioned that the causes of the recent rise in inflation may last longer than anticipated. Inflation could pressure rates higher. |
The economy expanded at a 6.7% annual pace in the 2nd qtr despite a resurgence of COVID-19, a slight increase over earlier growth estimates. |
Initial jobless claims rose for the 3rd straight week. However, unadjusted claims, which economists say offer a better gauge of the labor market, fell slightly last week. |
Home prices climbed to a new record in July, as buyers continued to compete fiercely amid a shortage of homes for sale. There are signs the market frenzy might be easing. |
Following 2 months of declines, pending home sales surged more than expected in August. Sales increased 8.1% over July but were still down 8.3% from last year. |
Mortgage rates started to rise last week. Refinance and purchase applications both fell 1% from the previous week. |