MarketMinute | Buying that vacation home may be easier now!
Consumer prices rose 5.3% from a year ago and only 0.3% from July, a smaller than expected increase in inflation. The lower inflation reading helps keep mortgage rates low. |
Retail sales posted a surprise gain in August, up 0.7% vs expectations of a 0.8% decline. The increase in consumer spending shows the economy is continuing to recover. |
Jobless claims rose slightly last week, mostly due to a regional jump after Hurricane Ida. Continuing claims fell to a fresh pandemic low, now down to 2.7 million. |
Purchase mortgage applications jumped 7% last week, hitting the highest weekly level since April. Applications to refinance were down 3% on the week. |
The FHFA is suspending limits on loans secured by second homes and investment properties. The move should lead to rate improvements for affected mortgages. |
According to a recent analysis, competition for homes is lessening, providing an opening for homebuyers who have been losing out amid this year’s bidding wars. |
MarketMinute | What Do House Flippers Think of This Market?
Non farm payrolls increased by just 235,000 in August vs. expectations of 720,000. The unemployment rate fell to 5.2% for the month, and wages rose 4.3% year-over-year. |
The leisure and hospitality industries saw wages jump 1.3% for the month and 10.3% for the year in August. Wage growth is inflationary and could push rates higher. |
Initial jobless claims last week fell to a pandemic low of 310,000, and continuing claims fell, too. The expanded federal unemployment benefits expired on Monday, Sept. 6. |
A recent survey found that 48% of renters worry they won't ever be able to buy a home, especially millennials, as tight inventory and rising prices continue to be a concern. |
Mortgage demand fell to the lowest level in 2 months last week, despite low rates. Purchase applications were down only 0.2% for the week but were 18% lower year over year. |
With home buyers flooding the market and foreclosure moratoriums removing some potential inventory, house flippers are struggling to find enough fixer-upper houses to flip. |
MarketMinute | How do home prices compare to the 2006 housing boom?
An inflation measure the Fed uses to set policy rose 3.6% in July from a year ago. The increase met Wall Street expectations and tied the highest level in about 30 years. |
At last week's Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled the Fed would begin tapering bond purchases by the end of the year, which could pressure rates higher. |
Weekly jobless claims dropped again last week, hitting 340,000. Continuing claims fell to 2.78 million. Layoffs reached a 24-year low in August. |
July’s pending home sales dropped 1.8% from June and were down 8.5% from a year ago. Inventory is slowly increasing, but there is still not enough supply to match demand. |
Home prices rose 18% annually in June, up from a 16% increase in May, according to Case-Shiller. Prices are now 41% higher than their peak during the housing boom in 2006. |
Construction spending was up in July, despite land and labor shortages. Single-family homebuilding spending grew 0.9%, driven by robust demand for housing. |
MarketMinute | Home sales & prices are on the rise again!
Orders for big-ticket items slipped last month as manufacturers continued to navigate a supply chain crunch that has resulted in higher materials costs and longer delivery times. |
The economy grew at a robust 6.6% annual rate last quarter, slightly faster than previously estimated, pointing to a sustained consumer-led rebound from the pandemic recession. |
Initial unemployment claims were little changed over the past week, hovering around pandemic-era lows and showing further signs of job market healing. |
Existing home sales rose for the second straight month and were barely higher than in July 2020. The median price of an existing home sold was $359,900, up 18% from last year. |
New home sales crept up in July, rising 1% over last year. Builders have struggled to take advantage of demand, hampered by soaring lumber prices and building materials shortages. |
Mortgage applications increased last week, with purchase applications posting their largest rise since early July. Refinance applications were also up slightly for the week. |
MarketMinute | Lumber prices are falling, but are new home prices?
Retail sales declined 1.1% in July, more than the 0.3% expected drop. Consumer spending is nearly 70% of all economic activity and a good gauge of overall economic health. |
Minutes released from last month's Fed meeting show a willingness to start reducing asset purchases before the end of the year, which could push mortgage rates higher. |
Unemployment claims hit a 17-month low last week, pointing to another month of robust job growth. Continuing claims also dropped to levels last seen in March 2020. |
Housing starts were up 6.3% in June, although building permits for future activity were down slightly. Lumber prices are falling, which could help the new home market. |
Home builder sentiment in August fell to the lowest level in a year as buyers face sticker shock. The sharp drop in the price of lumber hasn't yet impacted home prices. |
Last week's overall mortgage applications were down 4% from the previous week. Purchase applications fell 2% for the week and were 19% lower than a year ago. |