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Market Minute - Economy and Housing News - Erin Carvelli

  • Despite recession fears, the economy grew at a pace of 2.9% in the 4th quarter, more than the expected 2.6%.
  • Business activity contracted for the 7th straight month in January. The downturn moderated across both the manufacturing and services sectors.
  • Jobless claims declined again last week, this time to 186K. The drop signals labor market strength despite Fed rate hikes and talk of recession.

  • NAR reports the median home sales price in 2022 was $386,300, up 10.2% from 2021 and the highest on record.
  • Existing home sales in December fell for the 11th straight month and hit the slowest pace since 2010. Improvements are expected in 2023.
  • However, new home sales rose 2.3% in December. The 3rd straight monthly increase shows homebuyers are still shopping. 

 

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


Market Minute - Economy and Housing News - Erin Carvelli

  • A recent Fed survey showed the economy held steady in early January. Some regions experienced modest declines in activity.
  • Prices for wholesale goods and services fell sharply in December, providing another sign that inflation is beginning to ease, though still high.
  • December's retail sales fell by the most in a year, and business equipment production slumped, indicating the economy may be losing momentum.

  • Homebuilder sentiment posted an unexpected gain in January, rising for the first time in 12 months.
  • Single-family homebuilding rebounded with an 11.3% increase in December. Total new home construction fell for a 4th straight month.
  • Mortgage application volume jumped nearly 28% for the week, with purchase apps rising 25% over the previous week. 

 

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


Did you know that investment funds may be hiding in your mortgage? It's true! You may have more to invest than you think. 

A mortgage is the single largest liability most people ever assume. Do your realize its proper management is as important as for any investment?

30-Year vs 15-Year Loan

Which is best the best option? A 30-year or a 15-year loan? Many homeowners want to pay their home loan off as soon as possible, but the value of putting their money into long-term savings and investments often trumps a rapid amortization of principal.

Why pay down the balance on a home loan, only to borrow again later to pay for the kids' college?

The differential savings of a 30-year loan vs. a 15-year option can be put in a 529 plan instead. The result is tax-advantaged growth over time and no uncertainty of borrowing at a potentially high rate later.

Have questions or want to learn more. Reach out! The Greenway Team would love to help and answer any questions you may have.


Market Minute - Economy and Housing News - Erin Carvelli

  • More new jobs than forecast were created in December. However, wage growth was lower than expected, helping mortgage rates.
  • Inflation continued to slow in December, signaling prices have peaked and giving markets hope the Fed will slow the pace of interest rate hikes.
  • Weakening demand in December led to the first services industry contraction in more than 2-1/2 years, signaling a slowing economy.

  • Mortgage applications rose 1.2% last week over the previous week, although purchase applications were down 1% on the week.
  • NAR's Nadia Evangelou, director of forecasting, predicts mortgage rates likely will settle below 6% and experience less volatility this year.
  • In December, 21% of survey respondents told Fannie Mae now is a good time to buy a home, up from 16% in November. 

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


Market Minute - Economy and Housing News - Erin Carvelli

  • Demand for employment remained high in November as companies looked for workers to fill positions despite worries of a looming recession.
  • Minutes from last month's Fed meeting showed officials were still focused on stamping out inflation but gave few clues about future rate hikes.
  • A December reading of the manufacturing sector showed factory activity slowing down. The prices producers paid their suppliers fell.

 

  • A large drop in mortgage applications last week made headlines. Higher rates were blamed, though apps typically fall some at year’s end.
  • Cash-out refinances will cost consumers more in 2023 due to higher fees from the FHFA. Refis still make up almost one third of mortgage apps.
  • Beginning in March, Freddie Mac will require a first lien mortgage to be at least 12 months old before it can be paid off by a cash-out refinance. 

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 


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